Managing Transport Demand

Infrastructure Victoria is examining ways to manage Melbourne’s transport demand and get the most efficient use out of the transport network.

Our research includes using a new approach to transport modelling to understand how people move around Melbourne, identifying short and medium-term options to better manage Melbourne’s transport demand and analysing different road pricing regimes for the long term.

The program is building on the work undertaken for Victoria’s 30-year infrastructure strategy, which included a recommendation for transport network pricing to be implemented in 5-15 years, and the discussion paper The road ahead.


Insight into how Melbourne moves

Our latest research used a new approach to modelling to better understand how Melbourne’s roads might be used in 2030, and provide a comparison to 2015.

Understanding the changing travel patterns on Melbourne’s road network will help us identify and analyse options for making it easier for everyone to get around.

The KPMG Arup - Travel Demand and Movement Patterns Report provides a summary of the transport activity patterns across the city, both now and in the future.

We have also undertaken community research to explore people’s travel behaviour and attitudes. We wanted to examine the experiences of people who regularly drive during peak times. The full findings of the survey are available to read here.

For an overview of the key findings from both the modelling and the survey, read our fact sheet or watch our short video below


About the Melbourne Activity Based Model

Infrastructure Victoria's Managing Transport Demand research program used the Melbourne Activity Based Model to understand how Melbourne’s roads might be used in 2030, and provide a comparison to 2015.

The development of the Melbourne Activity Based Model is a significant first for Australia.

The transport model is people focussed and tests the response of individuals to change. This is different from traditional transport modelling which focuses on trips and modes within the transport network but does not explicitly consider the behaviour of individuals travelling on that network. The model is in early stages of development, but we wanted to share some baseline results and demonstrate some of its potential capabilities.

Our initial modelling of 2030 is based on current behaviours and planned investments but we recognise that new technologies, projects and policies could dramatically change how people use the transport network in the future. Like any modelling, it is a forecast based upon certain assumptions – we can’t predict the future, but we use best available information and evidence to help plan for future infrastructure needs.

It should be noted for simplicity we have referred to the year 2030 in our materials. The actual modelling work forecasts travel patterns to 2031, which is reflected in the below video and KPMG and Arup reports.

To find out more about how the model works, watch the video below or read the KPMG Arup - MABM Validation Report.


Next steps

Our initial findings into how Melbourne moves will inform the next phase of our Managing Transport Demand research program.  In 2018 we will look at a range of interventions that can help manage transport demand and make it as easy as possible for people to get around.



Media release - Infrastructure Victoria’s new research forecasts Melbourne travel in 2030

KPMG Arup - Travel Demand and Movement Patterns Report (PDF 4.2MB)

KPMG Arup - MABM Validation Report (PDF 6.3MB)

Fact sheet - How Melbourne moves (PDF 2.1KB)

Fact sheet - Melbourne Activity Based Model (PDF 90.7KB)

Quantum community research dataset (PDF 173.3KB)

Transport network pricing discussion paper - The road ahead - November 2016 (PDF 5.5MB)

Consultation report - Responses to The road ahead (PDF 2.2MB)